Incorporating uncertainty in water resources simulation and assessment tools in South Africa
- Authors: Hughes, Denis A , Kapangaziwiri, E , Mallory, S J , Wagener, T , Smithers, J
- Date: 2011
- Subjects: To be catalogued
- Language: English
- Type: text , report
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/438239 , vital:73445 , ISBN 978-1-4312-0128-0 , https://wrcwebsite.azurewebsites.net/wp-content/uploads/mdocs/18381.pdf
- Description: The main objective of the project was to contribute to the incorporation of uncer-tainty assessments in water resource decision making in South Africa, thereby quan-tifying the risks associated with specific decisions about planned future water re-source developments. This objective was supported by several specific aims: 1. De-velop an understanding of uncertainty and associated risks in water resource man-agement on the basis of literature and known practices, nationally and internation-ally. 2. Identify and characterise the main sources of uncertainty (focusing on cur-rent South African practice and typical situations of data availability). 3. Develop techniques and guidelines for quantifying the uncertainty associated with different models. This will include uncertainty in all relevant areas (hydrological, climate, economic, social, etc.). 4. Determine the effects of uncertainty on water resource management and identify what level of uncertainty is acceptable. 5. Develop guide-lines for the communication of uncertainty and the impacts to various stakeholder groups involved within water resource planning and management. This aim will need to address the issue of the links between uncertainty and risk. 6. Develop guidelines for incorporating uncertainty and the associated risk into water resource decision making processes. 7. Identify those areas of uncertainty that can be realistically re-duced and which will have the greatest impact on reducing the risks involved with water resource decision making.
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- Date Issued: 2011
South African research in the hydrological sciences: 1999-2002
- Authors: Hughes, Denis A , Ashton, P , Gorgons, A , Jewitt, G P W , Schulze, R , Smithers, J , Pegram, G , Dube, R
- Date: 2003
- Language: English
- Type: Article
- Identifier: vital:7074 , http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1009531
- Description: The principal activities of South African researchers in hydrology and water resources during the reporting period have been concerned with ground- and surface-water interactions, rainfall-runoff modelling, the establishment of improved regional water resource databases, the management of transboundary water resource systems, the ecological reserve, and quantifying the impacts of streamflow reduction activities. Most of these studies have focused on supporting the radically new provisions of the National Water Act of 1998.
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- Date Issued: 2003