ECOMAG Model: an evaluation for use in South Africa
- Authors: Mokoena, M P , Kapangaziwiri, E , Kahinda, J M , Hughes, Denis A
- Date: 2013
- Subjects: To be catalogued
- Language: English
- Type: text , report
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/438268 , vital:73447 , ISBN 978-1-4312-0408-3 , https://wrcwebsite.azurewebsites.net/wp-content/uploads/mdocs/TT%20555-13.pdf
- Description: The complexity of current approaches to water resource management poses many challenges. Water managers need to solve a range of interrelated water dilemmas, such as balancing water quantity and quality, flooding, drought, maintaining biodi-versity and ecological functions and the supply of water services to people. It is a sad fact in southern Africa that water availability is highly variable both spatially and temporally with low runoff coefficients of less than 9% conversion of mean annual precipitation (MAP) to mean annual runoff (MAR) known to be prevalent across large parts of the region (FAO, 2003). With predictions of water scarcity conditions, caused by rapid population growth, expanding urbanisation, increased economic development and climate change, (Rosegrant and Perez, 1997), water looks set to become a limiting resource in Southern Africa. The dynamics of demand and supply will have a large impact on the future socio-economic development of the region (Basson et al., 1997).
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- Date Issued: 2013
Incorporating uncertainty in water resources simulation and assessment tools in South Africa
- Authors: Hughes, Denis A , Kapangaziwiri, E , Mallory, S J , Wagener, T , Smithers, J
- Date: 2011
- Subjects: To be catalogued
- Language: English
- Type: text , report
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/438239 , vital:73445 , ISBN 978-1-4312-0128-0 , https://wrcwebsite.azurewebsites.net/wp-content/uploads/mdocs/18381.pdf
- Description: The main objective of the project was to contribute to the incorporation of uncer-tainty assessments in water resource decision making in South Africa, thereby quan-tifying the risks associated with specific decisions about planned future water re-source developments. This objective was supported by several specific aims: 1. De-velop an understanding of uncertainty and associated risks in water resource man-agement on the basis of literature and known practices, nationally and internation-ally. 2. Identify and characterise the main sources of uncertainty (focusing on cur-rent South African practice and typical situations of data availability). 3. Develop techniques and guidelines for quantifying the uncertainty associated with different models. This will include uncertainty in all relevant areas (hydrological, climate, economic, social, etc.). 4. Determine the effects of uncertainty on water resource management and identify what level of uncertainty is acceptable. 5. Develop guide-lines for the communication of uncertainty and the impacts to various stakeholder groups involved within water resource planning and management. This aim will need to address the issue of the links between uncertainty and risk. 6. Develop guidelines for incorporating uncertainty and the associated risk into water resource decision making processes. 7. Identify those areas of uncertainty that can be realistically re-duced and which will have the greatest impact on reducing the risks involved with water resource decision making.
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- Date Issued: 2011